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Monday, 30 January 2012

The end of the January effect?

Do today mark the end of the January effect whereby fund managers have rebuild the stock portfolio that they have sold in the previous year to take losses so that they can claim income tax deduction for this year?

As what one of Bloomberg's reporter have noted, it has been 2 years and we are still talking about the Greece debt issue now. Itlay Spain and the rest of the European nations are looking to get worse in the upcoming months ahead.

Fundamentals have not caught up with the reality as of just yet. US GDP numbers although did come better then expected, but underlying it is a strong inventory restocking that is not sustainable.

China despite it's strong growth is a big question mark after this year's leadership transition, as they might make it smooth for the markets and the population which is getting discontended with the rising income inequality.

In the Middle East, Iran is set to create more chaos as they would not sit back and let Hyperinflation set in. They might even create a war, causing instability in the region.

Given the magnitude of problems that are going by, I am staying at the sidelines with my cash

1 comment:

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